That’s false using your own rebuttal ... Because the chance you stated is more than no chance at all. You cannot determine the outcome of something that hasn’t happened.
I didn't state that there was a chance. In fact my point is that if there was a gun in your face your chances would be exactly the same whether you had a gun or not.
I am not asking you to carry a firearm because you may be incapable of defending yourself. I am not going to subject myself to your certain doom because you cannot figure out how to defend yourself.
I don't need to figure out how to defend myself. That is where your argument falls down. Your argument depends on the inevitability of facing a situation where you need to defend yourself and the fact that you had a concealed weapon would make a difference, and the chance of that occurring is miniscule at best. Just look at how easily armed police officers have been ambushed. Why does that happen? Because the perpetrator(s) did not telegraph their intentions, just like any criminal. The only scenario where your argument holds water is if a criminal did in fact telegraph their intentions. Have you ever been faced with/attacked by a criminal? I have. A weapon, concealed or otherwise, would not have made me safer in that situation. In fact, it would have probably made me much less safe, because the person robbing the convenience store where I worked would have ended up with it and possibly used it on me. I also know quite a few police/state troopers/deputies, and they all have told me that concealed/open carry has made their job of protecting the public much, much more difficult.
You have nothing to offer but reliance on the State which consistently fails to offer an adequate defense ... No thanks buddy, I am not interested in living in a police state.
As for the first part of this statement, the NRA is most responsible for any shortcomings in the "State's" ability to offer adequate defense. And as for the second part, I don't recall anyone proposing a "police state".
The ridiculous position that a concealed weapon makes you safer against everyday criminals would only make sense if they gave you warning. "Hey, buddy, I'm about to rob/assault you. Better get your weapon out."
And in an active shooter situation, it would only increase the carnage if people start pulling out their concealed guns. It would make everyone in the situation less safe and complicate the job of the police responders because they would have no idea who the actual active shooter is. That is exactly what happened a couple of years ago in Dallas. There was an active shooter targeting police officers and with so many people openly carrying weapons it took them a while to figure out who the actual active shooter was. Which gave him opportunity to kill/wound more people than he would have otherwise. I would much rather take my chances with one active shooter than with one active shooter and a bunch of untrained John Wayne wannabes.