Aethelcatt VIII
Active Member
Help! I need a math expert to help me sort my brains out on this: Mathematically, a 3-ingredient bake in the fall event minigame that has a 15% chance at the daily special gives you a better shot than 3 single-ingredient bakes that each has a 10% chance because, well, three shots at 10% is still 10% in total; but why does it always "feel like" that 3 shots at 10% is a better bet than a single 15% shot?
And truth be told--so far I have received more daily specials from those single-ingredient cookies and so on than from the fancy 3-ingredient cakes. Is that purely a coincidence? Full disclosure: I do make a lot of those single-ingredient bakes, not because I like the odds better but simply because I'm always trying to balance out the different ingredients I have left.
This is too much math for us felines to figure out...
And truth be told--so far I have received more daily specials from those single-ingredient cookies and so on than from the fancy 3-ingredient cakes. Is that purely a coincidence? Full disclosure: I do make a lot of those single-ingredient bakes, not because I like the odds better but simply because I'm always trying to balance out the different ingredients I have left.
This is too much math for us felines to figure out...