DeletedUser8152
Those are inferior arrows because they are not a beautiful graded blue. You're going to have to step up your game to compete with Inno here!
Eggs in the wilderness do not disappear. They will stay until the end of the event.Combine that with the anxiety of possibly losing a wilderness egg when you log out or when you participate in the event (opening chests?)
schweitzer, you should also factor in the eggs you can get by opening the chests. The expected return from opening 10 golden chests is 344 eggs with 13% chance to receive 200 eggs and 7% chance to receive 120 eggs. By opening 10 chests, you would find 50 more eggs in the wilderness and that would make a total of 394 eggs. You would then open 3 more golden chests, and you would expect to get 103.2 eggs back, 60 tulips and 15 eggs in the wilderness. If you add them together and the the remaining 30 from 394 eggs, it would make 148.2 eggs for another shot at the golden chest and give you 20 more tulips. With 280 tulips, you can get the second grand prize, which is a SoK.
Dude, my math can be a bit off as I did the calculation off the top of my head without verifying, but that's the way it should have been calculated as your mathematically expected egg count doesn't reach 0 after opening 10 chests "based on the percentages given" and just because you got an outcome of 1:1000 (yeah, not 1000:1) neither makes my logic flawed although saying so makes you pretty much an illogical person, nor proves that the percentages given by Inno are wrong.
Speaking of anecdotal experiences, I received two SoK's, 70 eggs back and a watchtower from the first 4 chests I opened, and after opening more chests it evened out. My sample size was 10 times bigger than yours, but it's still an anecdotal evidence due to small sample size, and it still doesn't confirm that the percentages are correct regardless of the fact that it is statistically more reliable than your evidence.
No one is forcing you to spend money, you don't need to win a shrine to play the game. And if you do choose to spend money, then it isn't "gambling" because you don't get money (or anything else of real value) back if you win. At any rate, it's no different than the winter, summer, or any other event where chance plays a role.This is where "the game" and INNO GAMES ARE FORCING you to spend REAL MONEY, which is crystal clear from the beginning and some (like myself) have stated they would.
Well, after looking at what is happening here and going on, I am sure my post will be modified and/or I will be given an infraction due to what I am about to say. That said, I will say what everyone is thinking or does not want to say, BUT I WILL. As I am sure right now, I am enemy number 1 by the game, as I am calling them out on what they are doing.
So, it goes like this. We can all agree that one of the Top 3 Prizes in the game is the Shrine of Knowledge (SoK). Funny, how the daily prize for today is the Shrine of Knowledge (SoK) and we all MUST WONDER, how can we possibly get one, WITHOUT gambling our eggs on low level chests with very low percentages of attaining/winning one. Let's do the math here. If you collected your daily 15 for yesterday and completed all quests to date and even collected all these wonderful eggs in the trees, you should have about 90-95 eggs, respectfully. If you happen to get lucky and collected for today's daily 15, just add 15 more for a total of about 108-110. Me personally, I have 109 on my Primary and I would like to think my collection is about NORMAL.
Now, with 110 eggs, you can choose to buy (GAMBLE) on a Bronze Chest (with it's 7% drop rate) two (2) times. OR you can choose to buy (GAMBLE) on a Silver Chest (with it's 13% drop rate) ONCE (1) time. The numbers respectfully, are 93% AGAINST and 87% against you getting a Shrine of Knowledge. Those numbers are down right AWEFUL and you have a better chance of finding a Blue Print while you M/P your hoods.
This is where "the game" and INNO GAMES ARE FORCING you to spend REAL MONEY, which is crystal clear from the beginning and some (like myself) have stated they would. Here in the USA, Internet Gambling is ILLEGAL and as such, forcing someone to pay up for a prize on a GAME that they ADVERTISE is FREE to PLAY on the Television is FRAUD and MISREPRESTATION. As such, I cannot wait to hear their excuse to all the consumer complaints they will receive. I find this absolutely deplorable and DISHONEST by a Company who markets itself as a FREE GAME to PLAY and then FORCE PLAYERS to PAY UP for something that they know full well that this Daily Prize is a Top 3 coveted Item in the game. But we all know now that this event was all a MONEY GRAB and to get the most they could from the players. I WILL NOT PAY ONE MORE DIME to play this phony game when they try to FORCE their own players to pay up for tuff and GAMBLE their money on a game.
International Laws are still governing and State Regulations are still applicable here, as the have to comply to these laws, in order to conduct and do business within any and all States and the Country of the United States. GAMBLING is what "the game" is forcing us to do, PERIOD. If you agree or not, these are FACTS and those facts CANNOT BE DISBUTED.
Again, nothing here I have stated is in anyway an Violation of any TOA/TOS respectively (Terms of Agreement/Terms of Service). Also, I am about to review this agreement we all agreed to, to see if it says anything about forcing us to GAMBLE and VIOLATE LOCAL, STATE and FEDERAL LAWS. Now, let's all hope this post does not get removed and some will try to NOT censor my "feedback" on this event.
Steve - LordStevie
No one is forcing you to spend money, you don't need to win a shrine to play the game. And if you do choose to spend money, then it isn't "gambling" because you don't get money (or anything else of real value) back if you win. At any rate, it's no different than the winter, summer, or any other event where chance plays a role.
this event is NOT like any other where it is IMPOSSIBLE as of right now, for you to get something of a "perceived value"
Of course it is possible to get the SoK without diamonds. You said yourself, use your eggs to open bronze chests. You have like a 14% chance.