A guildmate asked me if I thought another L1 Sentinel was coming for a daily special. I told him I didnt know, ask MooingCat...lol But, I took a look at Beta versus Live, just an exercise I do, even bet guildmates FPs (hope I didnt violate some rule on page 74). I realize the Mooing Cat info was the hot topic, but I really didnt pay much attention to what he was saying in the videos, I was watching how to play the minigame. I have to admit, at first, I thought he lived between the Lucky Charms cereal manufacturing plant and a horse shoe factory, never saw anyone luckier. But, I did have good games too, esp after I got the rhythm down.
So, Daily Specials. Well, it breaks down to this, a lot of changes, Beta versus Live and 2 days left (note, I fully realize Inno can change whatever they want and really dont care when they do, they could even give us nothing one time, like a lump of coal in your Christmas stocking)
Beta 2 Menagerie Live so far 1
(Menagerie was on day one and many times they repeat the day one special, and it is a special building, many times you see them twice)
Beta 2 Log Cabins Live so far 1
(special buildings typically show up 2X)
Beta 2 Medals, 2 Store, 3 Mass Aid Live 1 Medals, 1 Store, 2 Mass Aid
(that makes 3 short in the live event)
BUT we got 1 SOK, 1 Olympic Treasury Selection Kit and 1 extra Sentinel Upgrade (so plus 3 for live event)
So, I gave my guildmate a 22.64% chance of seeing the Sentinel L1 (that included his 5% guildmate - "hope he gets it" bonus). Many times I have seen them pair things equally, like L1 and upgrades as specials, sometimes they dont.
Other changes I saw,
2 hr mass supply went to 6 hr mass supply in live (2 times in each beta and live, 0.05% of seeing again)
Beta had 2-1Ups, Live had 1-1Up and 1 Reno kit (Reno kit is in almost every event as a special and 0.03% chance of seeing either one again)
Funny, ALL the changes were improvements. Had the changes been the opposite, worse, I have a feeling we would be on page 45